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Microsoft Sets Sights on Europe With Shopping Site Buy

Greenfield Online, the parent company of Munich-based comparison shopping site Ciao, said this morning that Microsoft would spend $486 million to acquire it, derailing an earlier offer from a private equity firm to buy the company. The Ciao sites operate in France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain, Sweden and the UK.

For Microsoft, the hope is that the deal will help boost its search business overseas. After the failed bid for Yahoo, Microsoft has been reeling around like a spurned lover trying desperately to fill the gap — with cash-back rebates for search engine users — while strategically looking for markets where it has a real chance at gaining share in search.

But Europe might not be that market. According to the most recently available comScore data, Google had almost 80 percent of the European search market in March while Microsoft had close to 2 percent. However, Google’s own comparison shopping engine, Google Product Search, is currently an English-only service. With Ciao, Microsoft could take advantage of Google’s relative absence in certain languages. As of January, Ciao was the top comparison shopping engine in Europe with 30 percent of the market, while Google was 18th, with 2.5 percent. It’s an opening, but it appears to be a small one.

image courtesy of Ciao

Technology-News: GigaOm

The Weekly RIA Round-Up for August 16 - InsideRIA

This week brought the death of ECMAScript 4 as we know it, a preview release of YUI 3, a behind the scenes look at NBC's online olympics coverage, and did we mention ECMAScript 4 (it was worth mentioning twice)?

RIA: del.icio.us/tag/RIA

Time Warner Ready To Unload AOL In Pieces. But At What Price?

Time Warner is moving forward with its plans to sell off AOL in pieces, and is finally ready to formally separate the AOL portal and advertising business from its legacy dial-up access business. But how much can it hope to get for these parts? When Google invested $1 billion in AOL a few years ago for a 5 percent stake, that valued AOL at $20 billion (which some people thought was an inflated figure even back then). Today, even after breaking it up, Time Warner will be lucky to get more than $7 billion for the whole lot.

Although it wants $10 billion for just the advertising and content business, there are only two serious potential buyers: Yahoo and Microsoft. And Time Warner is not making any friends at Yahoo by interfering with the selection of one of its new board members. If Microsoft turns out to be the only bidder, it would have no reason to offer much more than the $4 billion that the market is valuing the business at today. And, of course, all bets are off if Microsoft ends up buying Yahoo instead. (The dial-up business also only has one serious buyer: Earthlink).

According the WSJ (subscription required):

The Yahoo discussions have valued AOL at around $10 billion, excluding the dial-up business. In contrast, Time Warner’s current stock price — around $14 — suggests a value of no more than $3 billion to $4 billion for the ad-sales and content businesses, some analysts say.

Analysts value the [dial-up] business at only $2 billion to $3 billion, but Time Warner is expected to seek more than that in any sale discussion, according to people familiar with the situation. Despite having been in decline for several years, the business is still profitable and generates a predictable stream of cash. It serves 8.7 million subscribers, while EarthLink, the second-biggest dial-up service, serves 3.3 million, including broadband and Web-hosting subscribers

If Time Warner can convince Yahoo it still needs AOL, it might get closer to that $10 billion valuation for the online ad and content business. (Except that transaction would likely be structured so that Time Warner gives Yahoo cash in return for a large minority stake in the new combined AOL-Yahoo). According to comScore, AOL’s Platform-A is the largest online advertising network in the U.S. in terms of its reach, with 170 million individuals seeing its ads in June. Although Yahoo is probably bigger if you add together the reach of its advertising network with that of its own sites, depending on how much overlap there is. And many of those Platform-A ads, especially those from Advertising.com, are remnant ads sold at less than $1 CPMs (so volume is key).

(Disclosure: I own Time Warner shares).

How Much Is All Of AOL Worth?
( polls)

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Web2.0: TechCrunch

Russia, The Final Frontier For Data Centers?

Updated: To paraphrase (and mangle) StarTrek’s famous tagline: Can Russia be the place where Internet companies boldly go looking for the final frontier of data centers? At least one blog thinks so, and it points to the massive hydroelectric power capacity on tap in Russia. An article in this week’s The Economist points to RusHydro, a Russian company with the capacity to produce 25 gigawatts of electricity.

Much of the unused part is in Russia, RusHydro says. It has 5GW of new capacity under construction and more than 20GW on the drawing board—enough to double production.

Power is seen as the biggest constraint when it comes to building data center capacity. As a way around this conundrum, large consumers of Internet data center capacity have located their facilities closer to energy sources. For instance, Google, Microsoft, and Yahoo have built data centers in Quincy in the state of Washington near a hydroelectric dam where they pay a lot less for power than, say, in Silicon Valley. Google has built a massive facility in The Dalles, Oregon, another location close to power source. (Related stories: The Geography of Internet Infrastructure and Why Google Needs Its Own Nuclear Plant)

From that perspective, it is not so far fetched to imagine that these and other companies could plan on building data centers in Russia. Microsoft has already made its intentions very clear and is planning a data center in Siberia. Google has been slowly expanding its presence in Russia including a recent purchase of Rambler for $140 million. Of course, the big problem is a lack of massive Internet backbone pipes in and out of Russia, but that might be an issue that could be addressed easily.

Why? As we have noted before, there is a lot of capacity being built across the Pacific Ocean. Earlier this week, a new 570 km cable with a capacity of 640 Gbps between Russia and Japan went live.The cable is a joint venture between TransTelecom Company CJSC of Russia, which has about 55,000 kilometers of backhaul network in Russia. The other partner in this cable is NTT. Similarly, Eastern Europe is seeing big build-outs when it comes to fiber to the home (and/or premises). These networks needs backhaul pipes leading to big network upgrades.

I think the reason is that Russia’s natural environment makes it a good candidate for big data center expansion. There are some folks who have come up with ways to leverage natural environments such as cold weather to lower the amount of power required to cool a data center. Andrew Hopper, head of Cambridge University Computing Lab, has been preaching the mantra of putting data centers next to power sources, since it takes “electrical transmissions costs out of the equation.”

Google Data Centers Around The World Map Courtesy of Pingdom. Our source tell us that not all locations on the map qualify as data centers. Instead, some of them are data centers and others are smaller locations that route traffic to “real” data centers.

Technology-News: GigaOm

Yahoo Keeps its Enemies Closer

Jerry Yang, Yahoo’s CEO, may be learning something about the hard-driving style of management it takes to go it alone after an attempted takeover, especially if he follows Om’s logic and thinks Yahoo is about more than search. This morning, Yahoo said it will allow corporate raider Carl Icahn three seats on a newly expanded Yahoo board in an effort to settle the disagreement that is taking up so much of the web portal’s attention this summer. This ends the proxy battle, and Yang has brought Icahn in-house despite — or perhaps because of — the trouble he’s caused.

The deal gives Icahn and two other board members of his choosing spots on an 11-member board. Shareholders will choose from Icahn’s previously named slate of potential directors and newly named Jonathan Miller, currently a partner in Velocity Interactive Group and former chairman and CEO of AOL. This will settle the proxy battle Icahn began after Microsoft’s failed bids for Yahoo earlier this year, and make the Aug. 1 shareholder meeting a less contentious one.

However, it’s unclear what this peace offering means for Microsoft, which has expressed interest in doing a deal with Icahn should he gain control of Yahoo. Icahn’s board presence isn’t likely enough to sway Microsoft to put up the cash required to do a deal that Yahoo might sabotage while waiting for the closing. We’ll update the story as Microsoft comes out with its stance.

Technology-News: GigaOm

Memo to Jerry, Steve and Carl: Just Do It!

Summer is generally a slower time for news and this summer is no exception. But the kind folks at Microsoft, Yahoo and Carl Icahn’s investment firm are charitably offering up a form of entertainment with their ongoing Let’s Make a Deal saga.

The latest installment is a letter to shareholders from Yahoo CEO Jerry Yang that accuses Microsoft of flip-flopping, creating confusion and generally not wanting to make a deal. The letter also also reiterates Yahoo’s desire to sell the entire company at $33 per share — or if that’s not interesting, just the search assets.

Let me tell you, Yahoo, playing hard to get is smart, but this letter is no way to get the guy of your dreams. In fact, rumor has it Microsoft is seeing AOL now, and everyone knows AOL hasn’t always made the best choice in relationships.

This stuff may play well in Silicon Valley, but outside of it the world is not watching. While Kara Swisher dutifully calls her sources and provides us with the ins and outs of the wheeling and dealing, the audience outside the tech world is yawning. This started back in February (2007 if you believe the original offer from Microsoft). Let’s finish this, so the world can really focus on the banking crisis or high gas prices.

.

Technology-News: GigaOm

What Getting Buzzed Says About Yahoo

The battle over Yahoo’s search business as witnessed over the last few days seems both ridiculous and petty. And it takes the attention away from what is Yahoo’s true value: a media aggregation platform. Yahoo is the place a lot of people — some 400 million — visit to get their news, sports scores and email. I have always liked that business, and yesterday I experienced, first-hand, the enormous strength of Yahoo.

A story by Judi Sohn, who edits WebWorkerDaily, one of our growing portfolio of blogs, was featured on the home page of Yahoo last night. The story got voted up via Yahoo’s Buzz, a service akin to Digg, except much more powerful.

In a few hours, the story about what to expect when switching from a BlackBerry to an iPhone was viewed over 200,000 times and attracted over 350 comments. Now that’s a lot of traffic — but more importantly, a gigantic amount of engagement displayed by Yahoo visitors. The traffic sent our way by Yahoo was many times the traffic we get from, say, Digg or StumbleUpon.

At the risk of repeating myself, Yahoo’s core business now is “audience.” The company, instead of trying to out-Google Google, needs to beat itself by figuring out new ways to keep the audience growing. The first step is, of course, acknowledging that it is a content company. The next one: figuring out new engagement and audience-grabbing ways.

Technology-News: GigaOm

Google’s Talking Points For Today’s Antitrust Hearings: The Only One Who Won’t Like Our Yahoo Deal Is Microsoft

Both the Senate and House Judiciary Committees are holding separate hearings today on the antitrust issues raised by the proposed Google-Yahoo search advertising deal. (More details on the deal here). Microsoft’s general counsel Brad Smith, whose fought his own share of antitrust battles on behalf of Bill Gates, will be wagging the antitrust finger at Google. In his prepared testimony, he will claim that the deal potentially gives Google control of 90 percent of search ads, will lead to fewer choices and higher prices for advertisers, and raise serious privacy concerns for consumers. He will say:

If search is the gateway to the Internet, and most believe that it is, this deal will put Google in a position to own that gateway and the information that flows through it. Never before in the history of advertising has one company been in the position to control prices on up to 90 percent of advertising in a single medium. Not in television, not in radio, not in publishing. It should not happen on the Internet.

Google’s chief legal officer David Drummond will respond that the deal is good for consumers because they will see better ads, and good for advertisers and Web publishers because more people will click on those ads. He will maintain that Google will not control all of Yahoo’s search advertising, and will point out that Yahoo will compete in that arena, continuing to sell its own ads. It will also continue to compete in regular search. And as for privacy, Google and Yahoo will not exchange “personally identifiable information” about each user.

Here are Drummond’s talking points, which are summarized on the Google Policy Blog (where you can also find his full testimony):

* This agreement will be good for Internet users (who will see ads that are better targeted to their interests); advertisers (whose ads will be better matched to users’ interests, allowing them to reach potential customers more efficiently), and website publishers (who will see increased revenue from better-matched ads on their websites).

* Google and Yahoo! will remain vigorous competitors, and that competition will help fuel innovation that is good for users and the economy. As we’ve said before, commercial arrangements between competitors are commonplace in many industries. Antitrust regulators in the US have recognized that consumers can benefit form these arrangements, especially when one company has technical expertise that enables another company to improve the quality of its products.

* Our agreement will not increase Google’s share of search traffic, because Yahoo will continue to run its own search engine and compete in online search.

* We’re particularly excited that as part of the agreement, Yahoo! will make its instant messaging network interoperable with Google’s. This will mean easier and broader communication among a growing number of IM users, and enable users to choose among competing IM providers based on the merits and features of the services.

* We have taken a number of steps in the Yahoo! agreement to protect user privacy. As Google supplies ads to Yahoo! and its partners, personally identifiable information of individual Internet users will not be shared between the companies. Yahoo! will anonymize the IP address of a searcher’s computer before passing a search request to Google.

That last point about Yahoo anonymizing user IP addresses could set an interesting precedent. Advertisers would rather see those IP addresses freely shared across ad networks and Websites so that consumers can be targeted no matter where they go on the Web. But Yahoo and Google obviously felt it could have been a big enough issue to squirrel the deal with the government. As Congress looks at behavioral targeting in general further down the road, that could pop its head up again (even n a non-antitrust context).

These particular antitrust hearings have been brewing for a while. Google and Yahoo have tried to protect themselves against Microsoft’s criticisms by structuring the deal as a straightforward arms-length commercial agreement. And the fact that Microsoft has a lot at stake in seeing the deal squashed doesn’t make it the strongest witness at these hearings. It is not exactly a disinterested third party, since it is still trying to wrangle the search business from Yahoo itself.

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Web2.0: TechCrunch

Microsoft Now Says Yahoo Came Crawling To Them (Again)

After Yahoo quickly rejected Microsoft’s latest offer to buy its search business this weekend, Microsoft has just issued its own statement in the “he-said, she-said” wars playing out in public between the two companies.

According to Microsoft, after talking to investor Carl Icahn, Yahoo chairman Roy Bostock basically came crawling on his knees to Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer indicating that better guarantees could revive the search-only deal. (Yeah, right). Microsoft came back with a proposal that ” significant revenue guarantees, higher TAC rates, an equity investment and an option for Yahoo! to extend the agreement over a 10 year period.”

The deal broke down, partly because of Yahoo’s belief that it had to take it or leave it within 24 hours. Microsoft denies ever setting a 24-hour deadline. (Maybe Carl Icahn did?) Whatever happened, it sounds like some lines got crossed there with all the telephone tag. But what do you expect when you have a three-way negotiation going on?

Update: Here is Carl Icahn’s version of events, and Jerry Yang’s most recent talking points e-mail to the troops (all republished in full, along with Microsoft’s statement, after the break):

Here is Microsoft’s statement:

Microsoft Sets the Record Straight

REDMOND, Wash. – July 14, 2008 - On the evening of July 12, Yahoo! Inc. released a statement relating to recent discussions involving Yahoo!, Microsoft Corporation, and Carl Icahn. Microsoft believes the statement contains inaccuracies that need to be corrected. Among other things, the enhanced proposal for an alternate search transaction that we submitted late Friday was submitted at the request of Yahoo! Chairman Roy Bostock as a result of apparent attempts by Mr. Icahn to have Microsoft and Yahoo! engage on a search transaction on terms Mr. Icahn believed Microsoft would be willing to accept and which Microsoft understands Mr. Icahn had discussed with Yahoo!.

Specifically, on Thursday afternoon, July 10, Mr. Bostock called Steve Ballmer’s office to arrange a call. On that subsequent call, Mr. Bostock told Mr. Ballmer that “with substantial guarantees on the table and an increase in the TAC (traffic acquisition cost) rate, there are the pillars of a search only deal to be done.” Mr. Bostock encouraged Mr. Ballmer to submit a new proposal to Yahoo! for a search only deal reflecting these terms.

After considering Yahoo’s request and taking into account Yahoo’s previous feedback about our prior search proposal, Microsoft determined late Friday to propose an enhanced search transaction. This proposal included significant revenue guarantees, higher TAC rates, an equity investment and an option for Yahoo! to extend the agreement over a 10 year period.

Microsoft’s proposal did not include changes to Yahoo’s governance.

At the time Microsoft submitted its enhanced proposal, Microsoft asked that Yahoo! confirm whether it would agree that the enhancements were sufficient to form the basis for the parties to engage in negotiations over the weekend on a letter of intent and more detailed term sheets. This discussion has been mischaracterized as a take it or leave it ultimatum, rather than a timetable in order to move forward to intensive negotiations. Yahoo! informed Microsoft on Saturday that it had rejected the proposal.

Jerry Yang’s e-mail to the troops, with talking points:


To: all-worldwide@yahoo-inc.com
From: jerry
Subject: over the weekend — joint microsoft/carl icahn proposal

yahoos,
on friday evening, our board received a search and restructuring proposal from microsoft and carl icahn.
in essence, this proposal would hand over to microsoft yahoo!’s search business and the rest of the business to carl icahn. our board rejected this for a number of reasons, that boil down to a determination that this deal would be disadvantageous to yahoo! stockholders. with our annual meeting quickly approaching on august 1, i want to give you an idea of what to expect over the coming days and weeks.

proposals and attacks by microsoft and carl icahn leading up to our meeting are likely to get even more contentious.

i know this could is distracting at the very least. but i know that we can count on all of you to continue to focus on what we do best — transforming the experiences of our users, advertisers, publishers and developers. i also realize that you, and our customers and partners, may have additional questions. to address these, below is a brief faq that should help.

please be assured that the board, the management team, and i are all focused on doing what’s best for the business and our stockholders. we are prepared to let our stockholders, not microsoft and carl icahn, decide what is in their best interests. and we look forward to the upcoming vote at our stockholder meeting.

thank you for your hard work and commitment to yahoo!.

jerry
**********************
Questions and Answers for Employees
Is Yahoo!’s management now considering selling off search and splitting up the company?
• Microsoft and Carl Icahn made a joint proposal for restructuring Yahoo! which included the acquisition of Yahoo!’s search business by Microsoft.

• Yahoo!’s Board rejected the proposal, concluding that delivering our search business to Microsoft on terms that would be disadvantageous to Yahoo! stockholders does not make sense.

• We remain committed to being a principal in algorithmic and paid search and believe that financial benefits from our announced agreement with Google will allow Yahoo! to advance its ability to compete in the convergence of display and search advertising by allowing us to accelerate investment in sponsored search, display and web search businesses in parallel.

Does Yahoo! believe that being a principal in both search and display is the best way to maximize stockholder value?

• We believe that the convergence of search and display is the next major development in the evolution of the rapidly changing online advertising industry.

• Our strategies — including our recently announced agreement with Google — are specifically designed to capitalize on this convergence.

What exactly did Microsoft and Carl Icahn propose to Yahoo!?
• Microsoft and Carl Icahn jointly proposed a complex restructuring of Yahoo! that would include the acquisition of Yahoo!’s search business by Microsoft.

• The Microsoft/Icahn proposal would require the immediate replacement of the current Board and removal of the top management team at Yahoo!. The Yahoo! Board believes these moves would destabilize Yahoo! during the up to the one year it would take to gain regulatory approval for this deal.

• Yahoo!’s Board of Directors determined that accepting the proposal is not in the best interests of its stockholders.
As an employee, what can I do to support Yahoo! during this time?
• We ask that you continue to focus on what we do best — transforming the experiences of our users, advertisers, publishers and developers, all while enhancing our leadership position in the online marketplace.

Additional Customer / Partner Questions and Answers
With all the commotion surrounding the Microsoft/Icahn proposal, as a customer/partner — should I be concerned that Yahoo! is taking its eye off the ball?

• Yahoo! is very focused on continuing to provide its customers and partners with the high-quality level of service and attention that they have come to expect from all Yahoo! employees, including management.

• While this public volley can be challenging for everyone, it does nothing to change Yahoo!’s fundamental commitment to maintaining the highest standards of service.

Is Yahoo!’s management now considering selling off search and splitting up the company?
• Yahoo!’s Board rejected the joint Microsoft/Icahn restructuring proposal that would have included the acquisition of its search business by Microsoft.

• Yahoo! remains committed to being a principal in algorithmic and paid search and believes that the financial benefits of our announced agreement with Google will allow Yahoo! to advance its ability to compete in the convergence of display and search advertising by allowing us to accelerate investment in sponsored search, display and web search businesses in parallel.
What exactly did Microsoft and Carl Icahn propose to Yahoo!?

• Microsoft and Carl Icahn jointly proposed a complex restructuring of Yahoo! that would include the acquisition of Yahoo!’s search business by Microsoft.

• The Microsoft/Icahn proposal would require the immediate replacement of the current Board and removal of the top management team at Yahoo!. The Yahoo! Board believes these moves would destabilize Yahoo! during the up to the one year it would take to gain regulatory approval for this deal.

• Yahoo!’s Board of Directors determined that accepting the proposal is not in the best interests of its stockholders.

Carl Icahn’s version of events, via his latest letter to shareholders:

July 14, 2008

Dear Fellow Yahoo! Shareholders:

Over the years I have attempted to make changes at many companies but I have yet to see a company distort, omit and twist events and facts in the manner that Yahoo! has done in their press release issued Saturday night, July 12th.

During the last week, Goldman Sachs called me a number of times asking me to relate to them any transaction that Microsoft might be interested in transacting with Yahoo! I discussed with them the possibility of doing a “Search only” deal wherein Microsoft would purchase “Search” from Yahoo! and pay Yahoo! for any searches that would originate from a Yahoo! content page. Yahoo! felt that a deal of this nature would be very interesting, but only if Microsoft would guarantee the revenue that Yahoo! now received. This would obviously be a great deal for Yahoo! because Yahoo! would, for five years, receive a minimum of the $2.3 billion they are currently receiving as long as they continued to supply the page views and affiliate traffic they now had. Heretofore, Microsoft had been unwilling to even come close to making this guarantee. However, after I negotiated with Steve Ballmer for the better part of a week, he agreed to the guarantee. He also agreed to commit $7.7 billion dollars to the transaction (consisting of a $1 billion payment for “Search”, a $2.8 billion loan and a $3.9 billion tender offer to Yahoo! shareholders). Under the transaction, Yahoo! shareholders would receive $16.25 per share in distributions (consisting of cash and securities) and be left with a content company which would have a minimum guarantee of $2.3 billion per year of “Search” revenue from Microsoft and cost saving synergies from exiting the “Search” business that Yahoo! has publicly stated would be $750 million per year (excluding the benefits from reduction of stock compensation and other non-cash items). However, Microsoft believes the synergies from Yahoo! exiting “Search” would be far superior and that Yahoo!’s 2009 GAAP operating income would exceed $2 billion. Microsoft would be making a substantial equity investment in the remaining company at a valuation of $19.50 per share. Furthermore, Yahoo! would be spared the great expense of maintaining “Search” as well as having to spend billions in developing new technology to compete with Google and Microsoft — which it is highly doubtful they would be able to do successfully. Additionally, Yahoo! would be able to avoid the great risk of seeing “Search” continue to lose market share and eventually melt away.

I spoke to Goldman Sachs and Roy Bostock on Thursday concerning the breakthrough with Microsoft. A call to discuss the details of the transaction was then set up among Microsoft, Yahoo! and me on Friday afternoon, July 11th. However to my surprise and consternation, on the Friday call Yahoo!, instead of being interested in the Microsoft offer, seemed to me to be focused on who would be running Yahoo!. Finally, Steve Ballmer suggested that we not spend the rest of Friday afternoon on corporate governance. “First tell us if you like the deal,” he said.

The Yahoo! Press Release

a. Yahoo! in their Saturday night press release makes much of the fact that they were only given 24 hours to decide on the Microsoft offer because of the time constraints relating to the proxy fight, but neglects to mention that they were offered more time if they would be willing to postpone the annual meeting for a short period.

b. Yahoo! conveniently neglects in its press release to tell you about the extremely important above mentioned guarantees that Microsoft was willing to make;

c. Yahoo! tells you in their press release that a condition of the deal was the immediate replacement of the current board and removal of top management. Yahoo! neglected to mention we were willing to discuss keeping a number of the current board members and Jerry Yang as Chief Yahoo!

d. Yahoo tells you the Microsoft proposal precludes the potential sale of all Yahoo! however, they neglect to tell you that that train has left the station in that Microsoft is no longer willing to buy all of Yahoo! with the current board overseeing the company.

e. Yahoo!’s press release states that “this odd and opportunistic alliance of Microsoft and Mr. Icahn has anything but the interest of Yahoo stockholders in mind”, raising the innuendo that I am on Microsoft’s side in this manner. That is patently ridiculous. Since Yahoo! failed to consummate a transaction with Microsoft this year, I have spent hours and hours attempting to get the parties together because I believe that it is beneficial to Yahoo! shareholders to have a deal with Microsoft and I have worked hard trying to make it happen. It is important to note that my funds and affiliates own 70 million shares of Yahoo and own no shares of Microsoft or Google while the current board outside of Jerry Yang owns only the shares they have received from Yahoo for being directors. My interests are aligned with yours and not Microsoft and I think it is in our interest to have this transaction consummated so that we can get value much in excess of the recent and current market for Yahoo! shares.

In June, Microsoft apparently made a $33 per share offer for all of Yahoo! which was met with Yahoo countering at $37, thereby rejecting the $33 offer. Amazingly, before Microsoft decided that it would not buy all of Yahoo! with this board in place, it offered $33 and was turned down. The Yahoo! press release indicates that Yahoo!, in rejecting the current Microsoft proposal, stated that it would do a deal in which the entire company was sold to Microsoft for $33 per share. It is hard to understand why it turned down $33 and is now willing to accept it. It is the same obfuscation that is so prevalent in the rest of the press release. DON’T BE FOOLED.

I believe that, just like the $33 per share offer that was refused by Yahoo! in early June, refusing the Microsoft offer for the Yahoo! search business is also another grave mistake that will be deeply regretted. Our company is on a precipice and our Board seems ready to take the risk of seeing it topple — ARE YOU, THE REAL OWNERS OF YAHOO!, WILLING TO TAKE THE SAME RISK?

The following are the details of the offer that was presented by Microsoft to Yahoo! on Friday.

$/share should:
Value to Yahoo! Shareholders ————————- No Shares Tender———-All Shares Tender

1. Yahoo! distributes $12.5B in
Asian Assets —————-$9.00 ———————$9.00

2. Yahoo! distributes $3.5B in
cash to shareholders comprised of
$1B from Microsoft for search,
$2.5B of cash on hand ————–$2.50 ——————-$2.50

3. Microsoft offers $2.8B in
preferred debt at 5% —————$2.00 ———————$2.00

4. Microsoft tenders $3.9B for
Yahoo! shares at $19.50 ———————— $2.77

5. Remaining Shares
$16.73 = effective value of shares
after tender (86% x $19.50) ——————$19.50 —————–$16.73

Total Value To Yahoo! Shareholders ———————$33.00 ——————$33.00

Search Deal Would Increase Yahoo! EBIT to over $2B in CY09 — remaining share valuation represents 14.5 x GAAP pre-tax income

– Microsoft acquires Yahoo! search assets for $1B in cash

– Microsoft is the exclusive provider to Yahoo! and its partners of paid search, contextual search and algo search for the term of the deal

– Microsoft guarantees Yahoo! the greater of:

(a) 85% net revenues for the first three years, and 70% of net revenues thereafter,

(b) $2.3B per year of after-TAC revenues scaled down in event of underperformance of Yahoo! US Homepage views and affiliate rev.

– At the end of 5 years, the agreement expires unless Microsoft or Yahoo! exercise one of the following:

- Microsoft may extend the agreement for 5 years should Microsoft guarantee $3B net revenues per year

- Yahoo! may extend the agreement for 5 years with Microsoft bound to guarantee $1.6B per year

– Yahoo! no longer needs to support the costs of employees or infrastructure of the search business.

– Microsoft will cooperate with Yahoo! to allow Yahoo! to collect data from its web search to support its display advertising business.

– Microsoft will provide Yahoo! with a limited, non-exclusive IP license for use of search IP in support of its display advertising platform.

– Yahoo! will guarantee that Microsoft’s search will retain equal or greater prominence throughout the Yahoo! site as Yahoo! search does today.

Steve Ballmer has made it clear to me that if a new board consisting of my nominees were to be elected, Microsoft would be willing to enter into discussions immediately regarding a transaction along the lines described above. If and when elected, I strongly believe that in very short order the new board would, subject to its fiduciary duties, be approving an offer along these lines for its shareholders.

PLEASE VOTE THE GOLD PROXY CARD

Your vote is important. Please act at your earliest convenience.

If you’ve already signed and returned Yahoo’s WHITE proxy card, you can revoke that vote and cast a new vote by completing, signing, dating and mailing the GOLD proxy card today.

If your shares of Yahoo Common Stock are held for you by a broker or bank, only your broker or banker can vote your shares and only after receiving your specific instructions. In that case, you are asked to complete, sign, date and mail the voting instruction form today. Please do so for each account you maintain.

If you need assistance in voting your shares, please call D. F. King & Co., Inc., which is assisting us, toll-free at 800-859-8509.

Thank you for your patience, cooperation and support.

Sincerely,

CARL C. ICAHN

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Web2.0: TechCrunch

New Microsoft Offer, Quickly Rejected

Yahoo rejected a new Microsoft offer to acquire Yahoo’s search business earlier this evening. The offer, which apparently was made on Friday in cooperation with Yahoo investor Carl Icahn, was a variation on Microsoft’s previous offer to acquire Yahoo’s search business in exchange for cash, a partial stock buyout and revenue guarantees, required the complete replacement of the Yahoo board and executive management team, had a 24 hour expiration period and stated that there was no room for negotiation.

Yahoo rejected it, saying that the Google search deal they’ve signed is a better deal and adding that the requirement to replace the board and executive team is “absurd and irresponsible given the complexity of the deal.” We, by the way, agree with both points.

Yahoo formally offered to sell itself whole to Microsoft in the release as well, saying “the Board believes a whole company transaction could be negotiated and executed prior to August 1st,” and suggesting Microsoft’s original $33 offer will work just fine for them right now.

Full text of release:


Yahoo! Rejects Microsoft/Icahn Search and Restructuring Proposal
Yahoo! Suggests Microsoft Make A Proposal To Acquire Whole Company

SUNNYVALE, Calif., Jul 12, 2008 (BUSINESS WIRE) — Yahoo! Inc. (Nasdaq:YHOO), a leading global Internet company, confirmed today that it has rejected a joint proposal from Microsoft Corporation and Carl Icahn for a complex restructuring of Yahoo! that would include the acquisition of Yahoo!’s search business by Microsoft.

The proposal was made on Friday evening and Yahoo! was given less than 24 hours to accept the proposal, the fundamental terms of which Microsoft and Mr. Icahn made clear they were unwilling to negotiate. After reviewing the proposal with its legal and financial advisers, Yahoo!’s Board of Directors determined that accepting the proposal is not in the best interests of its stockholders.

The Board’s rejection of the proposal was based on a number of factors, including the following:

1. Yahoo!’s existing business plus its recently signed commercial agreement with Google has superior financial value and less complexity and risk than the Microsoft/Icahn proposal.

2. The Microsoft/Icahn proposal would preclude a potential sale of all of Yahoo! for a full and fair price, including a control premium.

3. The major component of the overall value per share asserted by Microsoft/Icahn would be in Yahoo!’s remaining non-search businesses which would be overseen by Mr. Icahn’s slate of directors, which has virtually no working knowledge of Yahoo!’s businesses.

4. The Microsoft/Icahn proposal would require the immediate replacement of the current Board and removal of the top management team at Yahoo!. The Yahoo! Board believes these moves would destabilize Yahoo! for the up to the one year it would take to gain regulatory approval for this deal.

Roy Bostock, Chairman of Yahoo! said, “This odd and opportunistic alliance of Microsoft and Carl Icahn has anything but the interests of Yahoo!’s stockholders in mind. Clearly, Microsoft, having failed to advance in search, is aligning with the short-term objectives of Mr. Icahn to coerce Yahoo! into selling its core strategic search assets on terms that are highly advantageous to Microsoft, but disadvantageous to Yahoo! stockholders. Yahoo’s Board of Directors will not allow that to happen. Yahoo!’s Board remains open to any transaction that delivers full value to our stockholders - we just do not believe such a transaction should be dictated by Microsoft and a single short-term investor.”

Mr. Bostock continued, “After negotiating among themselves without the involvement of Yahoo!, Carl Icahn and Microsoft presented us with a ‘take it or leave it’ proposal under which we would be required to restructure the Company, hand over to Microsoft Yahoo!’s valuable search business and to Carl Icahn the rest of the Company, giving us less than 24 hours to respond. It is ludicrous to think that our Board could accept such a proposal. While this type of erratic and unpredictable behavior is consistent with what we have come to expect from Microsoft, we will not be bludgeoned into a transaction that is not in the best interests of our stockholders.”

Mr. Bostock also noted that Microsoft’s position that it would not deal with, or otherwise engage with, Yahoo!’s management to reach agreement on this proposal or to implement it, is completely absurd and irresponsible given the complexity of the deal - one that requires the removal of half of Yahoo!’s business from Yahoo! and then the integration of it into Microsoft.

Yahoo!’s Board points out that a transaction to acquire the whole company would be much more straightforward and involve far less risk than the new proposal or any similar alternative. The Board believes a whole company transaction could be negotiated and executed prior to August 1st. In rejecting the Microsoft/Icahn proposal, Yahoo! not only repeated its offer to sell the entire Company to Microsoft for at least $33 per share, but also offered to negotiate an improved search only transaction. Microsoft rejected both offers.

Ironically, Carl Icahn, who jointly with Microsoft developed and presented this proposal, had previously urged Yahoo! not to sell its search business to Microsoft. Specifically, in an interview on CNBC’s Fast Money program, on June 4, 2008, Mr. Icahn said, “… it’s crazy for this company now to do this alternative deal and give the store away, because obviously, an alternative deal is a poison pill because once you’ve done an alternative deal and given the search to Microsoft, you don’t need Microsoft to buy you anymore. So, that would be a poison pill….”

Significantly, the Board believes Microsoft and Mr. Icahn are overstating the value their search and restructuring proposal would deliver to Yahoo! stockholders and are substantially understating the risks. Yahoo! noted that a transaction that would separate the Company’s search and display businesses is an undertaking of great complexity. While the Board acknowledges that the current proposal contains a number of improvements over Microsoft’s earlier proposal, the Yahoo! Board’s conclusion that the current proposal is not in the best interests of stockholders is based on a number of factors, including:

– The revenue guarantees suggested, which are conditional and subject to reduction, are well below the search revenue that the Company is expected to generate on its own and in association with its announced commercial agreement with Google. That agreement alone is estimated to generate $250 to $450 million of incremental cash flow for the first twelve months following implementation, while allowing Yahoo! to remain a principal in paid search;

– The success of the remaining Company is critically dependent on Microsoft’s ability to effectively monetize search;

– Microsoft/Icahn’s proposed Traffic Acquisition Costs rates are below market;

– The proposal calls for Yahoo! to sell its industry-leading algorithmic search business and its related strategic and valuable intellectual property portfolio for no incremental consideration; and

– Many of the components of the headline value that Mr. Icahn and Microsoft put forward, such as the spin-off of the Yahoo!’s Asian assets and the return of cash to stockholders, are steps that could be taken by Yahoo! on its own and the Board continues to evaluate these options.

Mr. Bostock concluded, “Microsoft and Mr. Icahn are trying to dismantle the Company and deliver our search business to Microsoft on terms that would be disadvantageous to Yahoo! stockholders. We are prepared to let our stockholders, not Microsoft and Carl Icahn, decide what is in their best interests and we look forward to the upcoming vote.”

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Legg Mason’s Miller to Icahn: Put Up, Or Shut Up

The pitched battle between billionaire investor Carl Icahn and Yahoo for control of its board could hinge on whether Icahn can convince the company’s two largest institutional investors to vote for his alternate slate of directors. Those two investors are Gordon Crawford of Capital Research and Bill Miller of Legg Mason. As of May 7, they each controlled 16 percent and 6.7 percent of Yahoo stock, respectively. Icahn owns at least 4 percent. That’s more than a quarter of the voting shares between the three of them.

Crawford has reportedly threatened Yahoo that he might throw his support behind Icahn, although he hasn’t done it yet. And that was before Icahn’s Gossip Girl pact with Steve Ballmer to jointly destroy Yahoo.

Did that pact make any difference to change the minds of Crawfod or Mason? Asked by Reuters reporter Ken Li at the Allen Company conference in Sun Valley, Mason replies:

The difficulty with Icahn is he’d have more shareholder support if he would say he wouldn’t sell the company for less than $33.

In other words, put up or shut up. Despite plotting for hours with Steve Ballmer, the only agreement Icahn got out of Microsoft was to come back to the negotiating table to discuss another deal. And why wouldn’t Microsoft talk to a new board charged with selling the company? It could probably get it for a steal, certainly less than the $31 a share it originally offered. And you can forget about that $33 offer it later dangled in front of Yahoo, only to be rejected by Yang & Co.

Mason is basically saying that if Icahn can do the impossible and turn back the clock, he’d vote for Icahn’s board. Otherwise, investors would just be handing Microsoft the company for whatever price it wants. But Microsoft is not going to agree to any new price before the August 1 shareholder meeting.

It sounds like Ichan still has some convincing to do.

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Mippin Brings the Web to Mobiles

Mippin (formerly Refresh Mobile), whose browser-based site presents content specially designed for mobile consumption, says it has named a new CEO and reached a milestone of 500,000 users. But I question its ability to survive.

The London-based startup’s service also learns what users like and recommends stories based on their previous interests. I call it a mobile portal analogous to Yahoo, MSN, Netvibes or PageFlakes, but Judy Gibbons, the new CEO, has a different definition. She says it’s a mobile media services company, in that it optimizes PC content for consumption on a mobile device. “We believe there is only one Internet - there is not a separate mobile one,” Gibbons told me via email. “But mobile presents different challenges and opportunities and there is real user value to having all this content in one place in the same consistent format with a great fast user experience.”

Whatever you call it, Mippin needs to gain wide adoption in a crowded area to support its advertising-based revenue model. The market includes efforts by Yahoo, Microsoft and Google, and according to ad network AdMob — which does business with Mippin — the number of mobile portals is steadily rising (see graph). Obviously the mobile world cannot support 500 varying portals. Even in the PC web world, portals have problems.

Despite impressive growth from its October 2007 launch, averaging 110 page views per user and advertising click-through rates of 3 percent and 15 percent for contextual ads, (way better than the .5 percent rates on other mobile sites), I’m not sure Mippin will deliver the audience advertisers need given the amount of competition fighting for consumers’ eyes. It’s a nice service, but unfortunately that doesn’t always win out.

Technology-News: GigaOm

Mippin Brings the Web to Mobiles

Mippin (formerly Refresh Mobile), whose browser-based site presents content specially designed for mobile consumption, says it has named a new CEO and reached a milestone of 500,000 users. But I question its ability to survive.

The London-based startup’s service also learns what users like and recommends stories based on their previous interests. I call it a mobile portal analogous to Yahoo, MSN, Netvibes or PageFlakes, but Judy Gibbons, the new CEO, has a different definition. She says it’s a mobile media services company, in that it optimizes PC content for consumption on a mobile device. “We believe there is only one Internet - there is not a separate mobile one,” Gibbons told me via email. “But mobile presents different challenges and opportunities and there is real user value to having all this content in one place in the same consistent format with a great fast user experience.”

Whatever you call it, Mippin needs to gain wide adoption in a crowded area to support its advertising-based revenue model. The market includes efforts by Yahoo, Microsoft and Google, and according to ad network AdMob — which does business with Mippin — the number of mobile portals is steadily rising (see graph). Obviously the mobile world cannot support 500 varying portals. Even in the PC web world, portals have problems.

Despite impressive growth from its October 2007 launch, averaging 110 page views per user and advertising click-through rates of 3 percent and 15 percent for contextual ads, (way better than the .5 percent rates on other mobile sites), I’m not sure Mippin will deliver the audience advertisers need given the amount of competition fighting for consumers’ eyes. It’s a nice service, but unfortunately that doesn’t always win out.

Technology-News: GigaOm

Microsoft Crosses A Line

Until today I’ve largely been a big supporter of Microsoft’s efforts to acquire Yahoo. A couple of days before Microsoft placed its initial $44.6 billion bid for the company, I told Fox Business Channel that a Microsoft merger had to happen to save Yahoo (and I certainly wasn’t the first to say this, I just had magnificent timing).

Throughout the ups and downs and stupendous drama of the negotiations, I held firm that a deal was in the best interests of both companies. Not because I’m a huge Microsoft fan, but because the health of the Internet requires a competitive search market. Google controls too much market share and too much related search revenue. A counterbalancing force is needed to keep the system healthy. And Microsoft or Yahoo standing alone cannot counter Google.

But when Microsoft pulled its bid just as Yahoo was about to accept and replaced it with a search buyout deal that I described as equivalent to them trying to get the milk for free instead of buying the cow, I began to wonder if things were getting out of hand. Since then, Yahoo has quite literally prostrated themselves before Microsoft to get a merger done, even perhaps at a price much lower than Microsoft’s original bid. And Microsoft has largely toyed with them.

Yesterday’s shenanigans, however, clearly crossed a line. Microsoft and activist Yahoo shareholder Carl Icahn jointly announced that they’ve been talking, and that Microsoft may be willing to entertain a full buyout offer once again. But only on the condition that Yahoo’s board of directors is replaced: “We confirm, however, that after the shareholder election Microsoft would be interested in discussing with a new board a major transaction with Yahoo!, such as either a transaction to purchase the “Search” function with large financial guarantees or, in the alternative, purchasing the whole company.”

Icahn explained further, saying that Microsoft can’t be expected to let Yahoo stay in current management’s hands during the months-long closing period after a transaction is consummated. He added: “Jerry Yang and the current board of Yahoo! will not be able to “botch up” a negotiation with Microsoft again, simply because they will not have the opportunity.”

This is largely complete nonsense. During the transition period after a merger agreement Microsoft and Yahoo would be working closely and Yahoo would be unlikely to take any actions that jeopardize the deal. What’s far more likely is that Microsoft, led by CEO Steve Ballmer, have taken Yahoo’s rebuffs entirely too personally. It’s no longer just about business, it’s about destroying and humiliating the people who embarrassed Microsoft. And sadly, that has nothing to do with creating a balance of power in search.

Just as I criticized Yahoo for not quickly accepting Microsoft’s offer in early February before the mass executive exodus and destruction of shareholder value, I now point the finger at Microsoft. Yahoo is standing at the altar waiting for you to say “I do,” Microsoft. Time to put up or shut up.

I’m all for a merger. But I won’t stand by quietly while Microsoft destroys what’s left of Yahoo just because it can.

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Gossip Guys: The Microsoft-Yahoo Saga

Remember back in the Dark Ages before text messaging, when a teenager (let’s call him Jerry Yang) might get a best friend (maybe call him Carl Icahn) to call another friend (say, Steve Ballmer) using three-way calling? With Yang sitting silently on the line, the goal would be for Icahn to goad Ballmer into saying how he really felt about Yang. Well, now that we’re adults, and billions of dollars are on the line, all this is done via proxy battles as is the case with the aborted deal for Microsoft, headed by Ballmer, to buy Yahoo, which is headed by Yang.

The whole thing just gets more and more dramatic — the lack of teen girls notwithstanding. Today, Carl Icahn, who holds a large stake in Yahoo, released a letter to Yahoo shareholders where he says he has spent, like, HOURS on the phone with Ballmer, who was still totally interested in Yahoo. But Ballmer’s, like, so worried that Yang and current Yahoo management might “mismanage” the company during the time it takes to get a deal done (because The Federal Trade Commission can take FOREVER, ya know?)

And Ballmer is putting, like, a ton of dough on the line here, so he needs, like, some kind of assurance that Yang and Co. aren’t going to go screw things up. And in the last attempts, he just didn’t get that, ya know? So Ballmer just HAD to walk away, right? But with a different board, you know, like Icahn’s board? Then, maybe Microsoft could forget about the past and get a deal done. In his letter Icahn says:

I strongly believe that in very short order the new board would, subject to its fiduciary duties, be presenting to shareholders either a purchase offer for the whole company or a very attractive offer to purchase “Search” with large guarantees. I hope to continue to be speaking to Steve over the next few weeks; however, since I do not as yet represent the Yahoo! board, both Steve and I do not wish to get into details over price, or even which of these transactions makes the most sense.

So Icahn, who has, like totally, put up his own slate of directors who would work with Ballmer, could really make this deal happen if shareholders would just, you know, LISTEN to him and vote for his board. Totes!

BTW, the whole crew, including Google and AOL guys, will be in Sun Valley this week for the swanky Allen & Co. media conference. It’s like a high-power slumber party where deals get done and the press gets excluded. Maybe Yang will ditch Ballmer and Icahn for Time Warner CEO Jeff Bewkes who head AOL. Tune in next week for the latest on Gossip Guys.

Update: Microsoft issued its own statement backing Icahn. If Icahn gains control of the board at the Aug. 1 shareholder meeting, Ballmer would talk deals again, either buying just the search assets or possibly the whole company.

Update 2: Yahoo tells Ballmer, “If you want a deal, say that to my face.”

Technology-News: GigaOm

Microsoft Signals It Would Rather Talk To An Icahn-Controlled Yahoo

carl-icahn.jpgDissident Yahoo shareholder Carl Icahn and Microsoft have been talking to each other (as has everyone else involved in a possible Yahoo deal, including Yahoo and AOL over the weekend). In a letter to shareholders, reproduced below, Icahn notes that he and Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer have been discussing possible transactions over the past week, and that Ballmer ” made it clear to me that if a new board were elected, he would be interested in discussing a major transaction with Yahoo! . . . immediately.”

Microsoft is throwing its weight behind Icahn’s proxy battle, going so far as to signal that an Icahn-controlled Yahoo is the only one that it is willing to restart negotiations with. Icahn says Microsoft won’t enter into any deal with the current Yahoo board because of the risk that the company will be “mismanaged” in the nine months or more it could take to finalize a deal of this size. He states:

Steve made it abundantly clear that, due to his experiences with Yahoo! during the past several months, he cannot negotiate any transaction with the current board.

In a coordinated statement it just released, Microsoft confirms that while it has “concluded that we cannot reach an agreement” with the current board and management at Yahoo, and that “after the shareholder election Microsoft would be interested in discussing with a new board a major transaction with Yahoo!”

Microsoft is basically telling the market that the only way a Microsoft deal can be revived is by voting the current board out. Yahoo’s stock is up 10 percent this morning on the news to $23.50, last time I checked.

Icahn makes it sound like he and Ballmer are closer than two teenage Best Friends Forever, talking on the phone for “as long as an hour,” gossiping about what they plan to do to Yahoo. But Microsoft is not guaranteeing anything, just that it would talk to Yahoo again if a new board is elected that is more open to a deal than the current one. It would be Microsoft’s fiduciary duty to do so anyway. Ballmer just likes slapping Yahoo around. He is not really committing to anything.

Yahoo, for its part, plans on arguing at its shareholder meeting that selling its search business to Microsoft makes no sense. But one of its counterpoints to Icahn’s original five-point plan, that Microsoft is no longer interested in a full acquisition of Yahoo, is now officially invalid.

Update: Yahoo responds, saying these announcements are silly because Yahoo’s current board is ready to negotiate a full sale of the company with Microsoft. Here is the full statement (I’ve bolded parts of it for emphasis):

Yahoo!’s Board of Directors continues to stand ready to enter into negotiations with Microsoft Corporation for an acquisition of Yahoo!. Indeed, as recently as June, Yahoo!’s independent directors and management approached Steve Ballmer about just such a transaction, only to be told that Microsoft was no longer interested even in the price range which they had previously proposed. Now Mr. Ballmer and Mr. Icahn have teamed up in an apparent effort to force Yahoo! into selling to Microsoft its Search business at a price to be determined in a future “negotiation” between Mr. Icahn’s directors and Microsoft’s management. We feel very strongly that this would not lead to an outcome that would be in the best interests of Yahoo!’s stockholders. If Microsoft and Mr. Ballmer really want to purchase Yahoo!, we again invite them to make a proposal immediately. And if Mr. Icahn has an actual plan for Yahoo! beyond hoping that Microsoft might actually consummate a deal which they have repeatedly walked away from, we would be very interested in hearing it.

Read both Microsoft’s and Icahn’s coordinated statements after the break:

Here is Microsoft’s statement:

In the past week we have had the opportunity to discuss with Carl Icahn the prospects for a possible agreement between Microsoft and Yahoo!.

Despite working since January 31 of this year, as well as in the early part of last year, we have never been able to reach an agreement in a timely way on acceptable terms with the current management and Board of Directors at Yahoo!. We have concluded that we cannot reach an agreement with them. We confirm, however, that after the shareholder election Microsoft would be interested in discussing with a new board a major transaction with Yahoo!, such as either a transaction to purchase the “Search” function with large financial guarantees or, in the alternative, purchasing the whole company.

As Mr. Icahn notes in his statement today, it would be premature to discuss at this time important details such as the price or other terms of a possible transaction. We respect the right of Yahoo!’s shareholders to determine the destiny of their company, and we do not intend to engage in ongoing commentary on these issues in advance of Yahoo!’s shareholder meeting.

As we explained on June 12 when Yahoo! announced an agreement with Google, we believe that our proposed search acquisition and partnership would have delivered superior value to Yahoo!’s shareholders and the marketplace as a whole. We have not changed our position, even as we continue to move forward with our own online search and advertising offerings. We therefore welcome interest by Mr. Icahn in pursuing this and other discussions.

While of course there can be no assurance of a future transaction, we will be prepared to enter into discussions immediately after Yahoo!’s shareholder meeting if a new board is elected.

Here is Carl Icahn’s letter to Yahoo shareholders that Microsoft is responding to:

Carl C. Icahn
ICAHN CAPITAL LP
767 Fifth Avenue, 47th Floor
New York, NY 10153

July 7, 2008

Dear Yahoo! Shareholders:

During the past week I have spoken frequently with Steve Ballmer, CEO of
Microsoft. Several of our conversations have lasted as long as an hour. Also,
a few of our discussions have taken place while other top executives, such as
Kevin Johnson, participated. Our talks centered on the industry in general
but, more importantly, on how Yahoo! and Microsoft can do a transaction
together. Steve made it abundantly clear that, due to his experiences with
Yahoo! during the past several months, he cannot negotiate any transaction
with the current board. His logic is simple. If and when a transaction was
consummated, Microsoft would be guaranteeing a great deal of capital at
closing. However, a transaction could take at least nine months and perhaps
longer to obtain regulatory clearance in the U.S., Europe, and elsewhere.
During that period, if the current board and management team of Yahoo!
mismanage the company (and their recent track record is far from reassuring),
Microsoft would be putting its money at risk and a great deal could be lost.

For example, in a transaction to purchase the whole company, a very large
amount of capital would be due at closing. Even in an “alternate” transaction,
where just the “Search” assets were purchased, large guarantees would have to
be made and, again, large sums could be lost if the company was mismanaged.
Microsoft perceives this risk may be quite high with the current board and
management in place. However, Steve made it clear to me that if a new board
were elected, he would be interested in discussing a major transaction with
Yahoo!, such as either a transaction to purchase the “Search” function with
large financial guarantees or, in the alternative, purchasing the whole
company. He stated that Microsoft would be willing to enter into discussion
immediately if the new board that has been nominated were elected. While there
can be no assurance of a future transaction, as many of you know, I have
negotiated successfully a large number of transactions over the past years. If
and when elected, I strongly believe that in very short order the new board
would, subject to its fiduciary duties, be presenting to shareholders either a
purchase offer for the whole company or a very attractive offer to purchase
“Search” with large guarantees. I hope to continue to be speaking to Steve
over the next few weeks; however, since I do not as yet represent the Yahoo!
board, both Steve and I do not wish to get into details over price, or even
which of these transactions makes the most sense.

Much has been said about how badly the Yahoo! board has “botched up”
negotiations with Microsoft over the past months. There is no need to keep
pointing out the mistakes I believe Yahoo! made by not immediately taking a
$33 offer made by Microsoft. But one thing is clear — Jerry Yang and the
current board of Yahoo! will not be able to “botch up” a negotiation with
Microsoft again, simply because they will not have the opportunity.

Our company is now moving toward a precipice. It is currently losing
market share in its “Search” function; our current Board has failed to bring
in a talented and experienced CEO to replace Jerry Yang and return Jerry to
his role as Chief Yahoo!, and currently it is witnessing a meaningful exodus
of talent. It is no secret that Google (which hired a great operator as CEO)
continues to dramatically outperform Yahoo!. According to publicly available
information, Google’s income from operations grew 59% per year over the last
two years while Yahoo!’s shrank 21% per year. However, none of the above has
caused the Yahoo! board to hesitate in paying themselves $10,000 per week. IT
IS TIME FOR A CHANGE.

If elected, I have little doubt that the new board, subject to its
fiduciary duties, will do what the current board will not do, i.e.,

— Immediately start negotiation with Microsoft to sell the whole company
or, in the alternative, sell “Search” with large guarantees.

— Move expeditiously to replace Jerry Yang with a new CEO with operating
experience.

Sincerely yours,

CARL C. ICAHN

(Photo by Sam Lustgarten).

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