Not a day goes by without someone bemoaning the evils of peer-to-peer networking, painting visions of a network apocalypse brought on by pimply-faced file stealers. And to make their case, naysayers typically present some hard-to-argue-with stats. This week, however, we came across a set of numbers that show more traditional video sources (streaming and flash video, for example) are now an increasing component of bandwidth on consumer-focused broadband networks.
As part of the research I’m doing for another piece, I had a long conversation with Danny McPherson, CTO of Arbor Networks, which makes all sorts of network-management and traffic-shaping tools. Arbor is used by dozens of ISPs around the planet and, as a result, McPherson is privy to details about traffic flows and usage patterns across many broadband networks.
McPherson shared with me some interesting stats and facts about broadband usage and peer-to-peer networking usage patterns. Given that Arbor makes a living selling its technology and products to carriers, it is prudent to maintain a degree of skepticism about the numbers. That said, they are nevertheless interesting enough to share.
On fixed and mobile broadband networks where consumer services are provided (i.e., NOT interprovider or typical dedicated Internet access for commercial enterprises):
This supports the arguments made by some of the larger ISPs, including Comcast. In a recent interview, Comcast Cable CTO Tony Werner told me his company would try and deal with the tiny number of subscribers who use most of the bandwidth by slowing down their connections during peak times. (Personally, I find that to be a distasteful solution, and I believe that folks should learn from newer ISPs like Free.fr and better architect their networks so they can provide more bandwidth for all — without imposing any penalties.)
The P2P stats are the ones that came as a complete surprise. Like you, I have read many reports that suggest P2P applications account for the majority of the traffic on high-speed networks. But McPherson???s data suggests otherwise:
So, what do you make of these numbers?

As I’ve announced in a separate posting, I’m going to go work for SitePen. I wanted to say a few things about Arbor Networks, the company that I’m now leaving.
There are many plusses to working at Arbor Networks. There are a lot of smart people at Arbor, and Arbor does a good job of ensuring that the new folks coming in are also people you’d want to work with. Pretty early on in one’s career, you learn just how important it is to have good people to work with, and Arbor has lots of them.
Arbor’s engineering staff is almost all located in Ann Arbor, Michigan, which remains my favorite place to live. I’ve traveled to many places and Ann Arbor suits my tastes well (YMMV). There are more than 60 people in the Ann Arbor office now.
Arbor has clearly reached a scale where it’s no longer a “startup”. It’s a private company, so I won’t mention financials. I’ll just say that the company is very solid and well-run.
Many people leave companies because they’re disgruntled about the work environment or company politics or some such. I’m leaving Arbor because doing so is the best move for my career.
If you’re into computer networking or security, I’d highly recommend checking Arbor’s job postings out. It’s a growing company with a lot of good things going.