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Content Tagged with cable + dsl

State of U.S. Broadband: Demand Hits Speed Bumps

A new report from Pew Internet shows that broadband growth in the U.S. has slowed down to a crawl, a sign that U.S. broadband carriers would have to work hard to find ways to grow their overall businesses. Pew points out that 55 percent of adult Americans have home broadband connections.

According to some estimates there are over 64 million broadband connections in the U.S. Some additional interesting bits from Pew’s report:

  • Broadband users report an average monthly bill of $34.50 for high-speed service, 4 percent lower than the $36 reported by broadband users in December 2005.
  • 38 percent of those living in rural American now have broadband at home, compared with 31 percent who said this in 2007.
  • The percentage of Americans with broadband at home has grown from 47 percent in early 2007 and 42 percent in early 2005.
  • Cable broadband users pay $37 a month, down from $41 a month in 2005. DSL subscribers pay $31.50 a month down from $32 in 2005. Apparently, cable guys responded by price cuts (more like lower tiers) with increased competition from DSL companies.
  • 2 percent of home subscribers have fiber optic connection. Verizon FiOS should be thanked for this development.
  • The research group finds out that low income groups — households with annual incomes of less than $20,000 — have started to cut back on broadband spending. Their broadband adoption rate had dropped to 25 percent in 2008 from 28 percent in 2007. It isn’t much of a surprise, because the economic downturn is forcing people to control and cut back their spending.

    Earlier this year, telecom operators like Qwest & AT&T, pointed out they were experiencing the impact of this penny pinching. Of course, what didn’t help was the fact that it was their geographic footprint that played host to the housing bubble. New home sales drove the demand for broadband connections and as foreclosures started, the broadband party also started to wind down. The net new additions for the second quarter 2008 will tell an interesting story.

    My feeling is that this is hurting the DSL providers more than cable companies and they are scrambling to respond by offering higher speeds. The smaller providers like Embarq & Windstream could be impacted the worst by the slowdown.

    There is some research that shows that speed bumps are not quite the panacea for these carriers, though they might provide some temporary relief.

    Bruce Leichtman recently conducted a survey and found out that nearly 72 percent of cable broadband subscribers, and 62 percent of telco broadband subscribers are happy with their broadband connection’s quality and speed. Only 24 percent are interested in getting faster connection and a mere 11 percent of broadband subscribers would pay an “additional $10 per month to double their Internet speed.”

    In comparison, Pew’s report shows that 35 percent of dial-up users want broadband prices to decline further — fat chance of that happening when most carriers are dreaming of tiered Internet plans. Overall 62 percent of dial-up users say they are happy to be Slowskys. (That should make AOL and United Online rather happy.)

    Download Pew’s Home Broadband Report (pdf.)

    Technology-News: GigaOm

    For Comcast, Broadband Slows

    Comcast, thanks to some stiff competition from lower-priced DSL offerings and Verizon FiOS combined with economic woes and fears of a recession, is beginning to see some slowdown in its broadband growth. Broadband has traditionally been a growth engine — and a big moneymaker — for Comcast, so this is a disturbing sign. Of course, the stock market is pretty pleased with Comcast today — dividends, stock buybacks and the perceived pragmatism of management (exemplified, in Comcast’s case, by not buying Sprint or Yahoo, as if they really can) usually provide a short-term boost to shares before reality kicks in.

    The company reported its fourth-quarter 2007 results today, saying it added about 331,000 broadband subscribers in the three months ending Dec. 31, 2007. That’s down sharply — 26 percent — from the 450,000 subscribers it added in the third quarter. Comcast had 13.22 million broadband subscribers at the end of 2007.

    comcastvoice.jpgIt seems Comcast’s Digital Voice business is also running out of breath. After adding 662,000 new subscribers in the third quarter, Comcast’s total CDV net new additions dropped to 604,000 in the fourth quarter.

    Numbers like this means Comcast, like other cable operators, will have to work harder and offer better-priced plans in order to keep making gains against the phone companies. At this point it’s safe to say that 2008 is going to be a tough year for the largest cable company in the U.S.

    Technology-News: GigaOm

    DSL Getting Faster — Just Not in the U.S.

    DSL-based broadband service providers may have started to catch up with cable companies in pure subscriber count terms, but when it comes to speeds, U.S. DSL companies are lagging behind not only the cable companies, but their peers around the world.

    globaldslspeeds.gifBetween the second and third quarters of this year, the average DSL connection speed in the U.S. (and Canada) increased a mere 0.17 percent, according to research firm Point Topic, bringing the average download speed to just 2.971 megabits per second.

    In comparison, the speeds in South & East Asia went up 132 percent to 3.582 Mbps, while Asia Pacific saw speeds increase 38.79 percent to 14.989 Mbps. Speeds in Western Europe gained by 6.22 percent to 5.552 Mbps, and in Eastern Europe, speeds are up 6.59 percent to 2.443 Mbps. In Latin America, speeds rose 29.06 percent to 1.652 Mbps, while the Middle East & Africa saw speeds dip 0.71 percent, to 1.404 Mbps. The carriers that gave DSL speeds a nudge include Korea Telecom, NTT, China Telecom, Fast Web, Telecom Argentina, and Telefonica and its affiliates.

    Technology-News: GigaOm

    Qwest’s Quest: Making Believe DSL is Faster

    After spending hard time covering last year’s net neutrality battles, it’s easy to get used to hearing telephone companies saying up is really down, and black is really white. That’s why we’re not going to even nibble at the pitch Qwest’s PR representatives sent our way Monday, an invitation to hear more about Qwest’s “broadband challenge,” a campaign “attacking the belief that cable broadband is faster than DSL,” says the email.

    Pul-eeze.

    Without even mentioning (OK, or ridiculing it more than once) the weak, home-baked “statistics” we’re sure the campaign is chock-full of, we offer just one word: Speedtest. That, and your checkbook, is all you need to determine which service is faster, or a better value, where the pipe connects to your ‘puter. Truly, you do not need a “broadband challenge” or more cooked demos or more empty promises of future improvements. All you need is proof: how many bits can your service deliver (down AND upstream) to where you live, now, at what price.

    And as far as the “perception” that cable is faster than DSL… maybe that’s because, in most instances, cable providers do offer faster connections, at least until Qwest and others roll out more of those mini-DSLAMs or fiber nodes to get over the physics problem that limits DSL by distance. Case in point is the GigaOM mid-Peninsula outpost, which happens to be geographically smack between the two closest COs — meaning that top DSL speed is roughly 350Kbps, if the wind is blowing out.

    Our cable connection, meanwhile, seems to have ingested some of the local spilled BALCO juice — even though our contract calls for 6 Mbps down, on some recent nights the meter has ticked up to 12 Mbps or more, for no apparent reason.

    According to some Comcast sales guy (who honored us with a dinner-time front-door visit), the cable giant had “just installed some optical fiber” in the neighborhood and say, wasn’t it time for us to add that digital phone service to the bill?

    Um, thanks, no, and could you please add us to the do-not-stop-by-my-house list? Just goes to show that even when the speeds get faster, the sales pitches don’t improve in a linear fashion. In that sense, DSL and cable are unfortunately neck and neck.

    Technology-News: GigaOm

    What’s on GigaNET

    Technology-News: GigaOm

    The State of Broadband 2006: DSL rules for now

    bbnd2006tech.pngThree months after the clocks said goodbye to 2006, the final polls are in: 2006 was a blockbuster of a year for the broadband business worldwide, including US, but from going forward, the gallop is going to turn into a trot.

    • At the end of 2006, there were 281 million broadband subscribers world wide, up by 67 million according to London-based Point-Topic.
    • DSL subscribers total 185 million, making it the most popular access technology for now, with a 65.7% market share, according to DSL Forum.
    • In the US, however, DSL trails, and accounts for 24 million connections versus cable companies have 55% of the total market, with 29.3 million.
    • Fiber to the home (and related technologies) now account for 10% of total global broadband connections. We suspect this is a percentage that is only going to grow bigger, especially as Japan, France, US (Verizon) and others aggressively push their FTTx offerings.
    • United States is the largest broadband market, with 57 million broadband lines, while China is second with 51.9 million. (They might be bigger than US by now… this is year-end data.)
    • US added 10.2 million new broadband subscribers in 2006, according to Leichtman Research Group. Phone companies added 5.5 million, and cable providers added 4.7 million.

    broadband2006.jpg

    Technology-News: GigaOm